TGM's two-stage DCF values Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) between $35.75 and $66.83 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $48.60. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.8%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$76.08 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +18.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.8% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 6.0%/yr | 10.8% | $35.75 |
| Base case | 9.0%/yr | 9.8% | $48.60 |
| Optimistic | 12.0%/yr | 8.8% | $66.83 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $48.37 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$76.08
Market-Implied Growth
+18.9%/yr
vs +8.4% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$35.75 – $66.83
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for IR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.2B · 0.39B shares · net debt $3.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$48.60
-36.1% vs $76.08
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 9.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $76.08; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | $60.41 | $65.37 | $71.25 | $78.34 | $87.08 |
| 8.8% | $50.52 | $54.04 | $58.12 | $62.89 | $68.56 |
| 9.8% | $43.02 | $45.64 | $48.60 | $52.00 | $55.93 |
| 10.8% | $37.16 | $39.15 | $41.39 | $43.91 | $46.77 |
| 11.8% | $32.44 | $34.01 | $35.74 | $37.67 | $39.83 |
