TGM's two-stage DCF values Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) between $35.20 and $65.58 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $47.79. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$84.48 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +21.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.9% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 6.0%/yr | 10.9% | $35.20 |
| Base case | 9.0%/yr | 9.9% | $47.79 |
| Optimistic | 12.0%/yr | 8.9% | $65.58 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $49.87 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$84.48
Market-Implied Growth
+21.7%/yr
vs +8.4% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$35.20 – $65.58
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for IR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.2B · 0.39B shares · net debt $3.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$47.79
-43.4% vs $84.48
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 9.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $84.48; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | $59.28 | $64.06 | $69.71 | $76.51 | $84.85 |
| 8.9% | $49.68 | $53.09 | $57.03 | $61.63 | $67.08 |
| 9.9% | $42.37 | $44.91 | $47.79 | $51.08 | $54.88 |
| 10.9% | $36.64 | $38.59 | $40.76 | $43.21 | $45.99 |
| 11.9% | $32.02 | $33.55 | $35.24 | $37.13 | $39.23 |
