The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate The Home Depot, Inc.'s fair value between $184.75 (conservative case) and $297.83 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$326.01 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +11.3% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$326.01
Fair-Value Range
$184.75 – $297.83
Market-Implied Growth
+11.3%/yr
vs -3.4% 5Y actual
HD DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $14.6B · 1.00B shares · net debt $54.4B
Estimated Fair Value
$184.75
-43.3% vs $326.01
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $326.01; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $243 | $258 | $276 | $298 | $324 |
| 9.0% | $201 | $211 | $223 | $237 | $254 |
| 10.0% | $169 | $176 | $185 | $194 | $205 |
| 11.0% | $144 | $149 | $155 | $162 | $170 |
| 12.0% | $124 | $128 | $132 | $137 | $143 |
About The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a prominent retailer specializing in home renovation and improvement. Through its expansive network of "The Home Depot" stores, it furnishes consumers with an extensive array of goods, including building materials, home enhancement products, lawn and garden supplies, decorative items, and facilities maintenance, repair, and operational (MRO) supplies. In addition to selling products, the company extends professional installation services for key home features like flooring, cabinetry (including makeovers), countertops, furnaces and central air conditioning systems, and window replacements. Customers can also access tool and equipment rental options. Its diverse clientele includes both individual homeowners and a broad spectrum of professional clients, such as renovators, general contractors, maintenance personnel, handymen, property managers, building service contractors, and specialized tradespeople like electricians, plumbers, and painters. The firm also distributes its merchandise through several online platforms, notably homedepot.com, along with specialized sites such as blinds.com for bespoke window coverings and thecompanystore.com for home textiles and decorative goods. By the end of 2021, the corporation operated a total of 2,317 outlets across the United States. Incorporated in 1978, The Home Depot, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Home Improvement
- CEO
- Edward Decker