TGM's two-stage DCF values Pentair plc (PNR) between $37.84 and $69.70 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $49.82. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.2%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$58.92 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +6.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.2% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 10.2% | $37.84 |
| Base case | 2.6%/yr | 9.2% | $49.82 |
| Optimistic | 5.6%/yr | 8.2% | $69.70 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 8, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $87.66 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$58.92
Market-Implied Growth
+6.0%/yr
vs +1.9% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$37.84 – $69.70
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for PNR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $617.8M · 0.16B shares · net debt $1.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$49.82
-15.4% vs $58.92
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $58.92; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | $62.60 | $68.27 | $75.13 | $83.62 | $94.40 |
| 8.2% | $51.76 | $55.67 | $60.26 | $65.72 | $72.34 |
| 9.2% | $43.73 | $46.57 | $49.82 | $53.59 | $58.02 |
| 10.2% | $37.56 | $39.69 | $42.09 | $44.83 | $47.97 |
| 11.2% | $32.65 | $34.31 | $36.15 | $38.20 | $40.53 |
