TGM's two-stage DCF values EZCORP, Inc. (EZPW) between $32.61 and $63.15 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $44.97. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$30.75 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +8.6% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 14.6%/yr | 8.5% | $32.61 |
| Base case | 17.6%/yr | 7.5% | $44.97 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 6.5% | $63.15 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $44.32 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$30.75
Market-Implied Growth
+8.6%/yr
vs +17.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$32.61 – $63.15
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for EZPW (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $69.6M · 0.06B shares · net debt $48.6M
Estimated Fair Value
$44.97
+46.3% vs $30.75
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 17.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $30.75; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $59.36 | $67.16 | $77.54 | $92.08 | $114 |
| 6.5% | $46.66 | $51.33 | $57.17 | $64.66 | $74.65 |
| 7.5% | $38.23 | $41.29 | $44.97 | $49.47 | $55.08 |
| 8.5% | $32.22 | $34.37 | $36.87 | $39.82 | $43.36 |
| 9.5% | $27.74 | $29.31 | $31.10 | $33.17 | $35.58 |