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Alcoa Corporation (AA) compounding analysis

Full-size annual and quarterly year-over-year growth charts for revenue, EPS, operating cash flow, EBITDA, and free cash flow against the 15%, 20%, and 30% bars over 3-, 5-, and 10-year windows, with each metric's valuation multiple vs its own history.

Revenue · 5YDoes not currently clear the 15%+, 20%+, or 30%+ revenue bars over 5Y.

Score
21/100
5Y CAGR
6.5%
Median YoY
5%
YoY volatility
σ 22.8pp· choppy
Quarters ≥ 20%
6 of 20
Negative quarters
9
Valuation vs own 5Y history
P/S 1.0x · 5Y median 0.7x · 85th percentile
How this score is computed
  • Quarters at or above 20%: 6 of 20 12 of 40 pts
  • Steadiness (typical swing 22.8pp) → 8.7 of 25 pts
  • Pace (median 5% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
  • Latest quarter (-5.2% YoY) → 0 of 15 pts
  • Score: 21 of 100

Annual revenue · last 11 fiscal years

$0.00$2.50B$5.00B$7.50B$10.00B$12.50B$15.00B201520172019202120232025

Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line · 5Y

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%20%20222023202420252026

P/S multiple vs its 5Y median · context only

0x0.5x1x1.5x2x5Y median 0.7x201620182020202220242026

Across metrics · 5Y

AA reported stats per metric over 5Y: annual CAGR, median quarterly year-over-year growth, YoY standard deviation, quarters at or above 20%, and negative quarters.
Metric5Y CAGRMedian YoYYoY σQtrs ≥ 20%Neg. qtrs
Revenue6.5%5%22.8pp6 of 209
EPS
Op cash flow24.6%
EBITDA3.1%16.1%283.1pp10 of 2010
FCF69.1%

Reported figures over 5Y: annual-series CAGR, median and standard deviation (σ, percentage points) of quarterly year-over-year growth, quarters at or above 20%, and quarters with negative YoY. “—” means the window needs more comparable data.

Scores, qualification bars, and the 0–100 consistency methodology are documented on the compounders list page →

See also: AA on the compounders surface · All compounders, ranked

About Alcoa Corporation

Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. Alcoa initiates its process with bauxite mining. This raw material is then refined into alumina, which is subsequently sold to customers for conversion into various industrial chemical products. Additionally, the company is involved in aluminum smelting and casting, supplying primary aluminum in forms like alloy or value-added ingots. These aluminum products cater to a diverse range of industries, including transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire manufacturing, and other industrial applications. Beyond its core metals business, Alcoa also operates hydroelectric power generation facilities. These plants generate and sell electricity into the wholesale market, serving a wide array of clients, from traders and large industrial consumers to distribution companies and other power generators. Founded in 1888, the company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It officially adopted the name Alcoa Corporation in October 2016, prior to which it was known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation.

Pittsburgh, PA
13,900 employees
Basic Materials / Aluminum
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
CEO
William F. Oplinger