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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)
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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range
$92.10
$126.66
Estimated fair value
$231.00
Today's price

Two independent models estimate Ross Stores, Inc.'s fair value between $92.10 (conservative case) and $126.66 (analyst consensus).

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+18.2%/yr
Actual growth, last 5 years-6.3%/yr

$231.00 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +18.2% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.

Current Price

$231.00

Fair-Value Range

$92.10 – $126.66

Market-Implied Growth

+18.2%/yr

vs -6.3% 5Y actual

ROST DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.

5%/yr
Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 13.3% · 5Y -6.3% · 10Y 9.7%
10%
2.5%
10yr

Base inputs: FCF $1.7B · 0.32B shares · net cash $2.3B

Estimated Fair Value

$92.10

-60.1% vs $231.00

Current price$231.00
Analyst DCF (FMP)$126.66

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $231.00; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →1.50%2.00%2.50%3.00%3.50%
8.0%$113$118$124$132$141
9.0%$97.82$102$106$111$117
10.0%$86.50$89.12$92.10$95.50$99.43
11.0%$77.60$79.52$81.68$84.10$86.84
12.0%$70.43$71.87$73.47$75.25$77.23

About Ross Stores, Inc.

Ross Stores, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages a chain of off-price retail establishments focusing on apparel and home goods. These stores operate under two main brand names: Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. Their product selection primarily includes clothing, accessories, footwear, and household decor. The Ross Dress for Less outlets primarily serve middle-income households, offering merchandise at prices considerably lower than traditional department and specialty stores. Conversely, dd's DISCOUNTS stores cater to moderate-income households, providing products at prices below those typically found in department and discount stores. As of July 5, 2022, the company had approximately 1,950 stores operating across 40 states, the District of Columbia, and Guam. Ross Stores, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Dublin, California.

Dublin, CA
107,000 employees
Consumer Cyclical / Apparel - Retail
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel - Retail
CEO
James G. Conroy