Oracle Corporation (ORCL) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate Oracle Corporation's fair value between $7.07 (conservative case) and $40.15 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$204.17 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +30.9% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$204.17
Fair-Value Range
$7.07 – $40.15
Market-Implied Growth
+30.9%/yr
vs -13.2% 5Y actual
ORCL DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $6.2B · 2.87B shares · net debt $81.8B
Estimated Fair Value
$7.07
-96.5% vs $204.17
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $204.17; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $15.69 | $17.96 | $20.63 | $23.84 | $27.76 |
| 9.0% | $9.46 | $11.01 | $12.80 | $14.88 | $17.34 |
| 10.0% | $4.72 | $5.82 | $7.07 | $8.49 | $10.14 |
| 11.0% | $0.99 | $1.80 | $2.70 | $3.72 | $4.87 |
| 12.0% | — | — | — | $0.01 | $0.84 |
About Oracle Corporation
Oracle Corporation, a global technology giant, provides a comprehensive suite of enterprise information technology solutions worldwide. A core part of its portfolio comprises cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications, including the Oracle Fusion Cloud suite covering enterprise resource planning (ERP), enterprise performance management (EPM), supply chain and manufacturing management (SCM), and human capital management (HCM). This also extends to specialized offerings like Oracle Advertising, the NetSuite application suite, and Oracle Fusion solutions for Sales, Service, and Marketing. Beyond these, Oracle develops cloud solutions tailored for various specific industries, alongside traditional application licenses and comprehensive license support services. Furthermore, the company's robust cloud and licensing business is underpinned by its infrastructure technologies. These include the flagship Oracle Database, the widely adopted Java programming language, and various middleware components such as development tools. Its advanced cloud infrastructure provides compute, storage, and networking capabilities, complemented by innovative services like the Oracle Autonomous Database, MySQL HeatWave, Internet-of-Things (IoT) platforms, digital assistants, and blockchain technology. Oracle also offers a range of hardware products and associated software. This encompasses Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, and specialized hardware for particular industries. Additionally, it provides virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support. Complementing its product lines, Oracle delivers expert consulting and dedicated customer services. The company employs a direct sales model, reaching businesses across diverse sectors, government bodies, and educational institutions globally, while also leveraging an extensive network of indirect channels. Established in 1977, Oracle Corporation maintains its corporate headquarters in Austin, Texas.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- CEO
- Michael D. Sicilia