NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s fair value between $75.28 (conservative case) and $117.66 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$285.56 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +15.1% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$285.56
Fair-Value Range
$75.28 – $117.66
Market-Implied Growth
+15.1%/yr
vs +8.2% 5Y actual
NXPI DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $2.4B · 0.26B shares · net debt $9.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$117.66
-58.8% vs $285.56
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $285.56; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $155 | $164 | $176 | $189 | $206 |
| 9.0% | $128 | $135 | $142 | $151 | $162 |
| 10.0% | $108 | $112 | $118 | $124 | $131 |
| 11.0% | $91.64 | $95.10 | $98.96 | $103 | $108 |
| 12.0% | $78.78 | $81.37 | $84.24 | $87.43 | $90.99 |
About NXP Semiconductors N.V.
NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers. The company also develops semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including components for pressure, motion (inertial), magnetic fields, and gyroscopic measurements. These solutions find critical applications across diverse sectors, including the automotive industry, industrial automation, the Internet of Things (IoT), mobile computing, and communication infrastructure. NXP distributes its products globally, serving original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), contract manufacturers, and a network of distributors. Its operational footprint spans key global regions, including China, the Netherlands, the United States, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia, in addition to its broader international reach. Founded in 2006, the company initially operated as KASLION Acquisition B.V. before adopting its current name, NXP Semiconductors N.V., in May 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Rafael Sotomayor