MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate MercadoLibre, Inc.'s fair value between $471.40 (conservative case) and $1,923.91 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$1,588.29 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +2.5% a year for the next decade — slower than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$1,588.29
Fair-Value Range
$471.40 – $1,923.91
Market-Implied Growth
+2.5%/yr
vs +73.4% 5Y actual
MELI DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $6.2B · 0.05B shares · net debt $5.4B
Estimated Fair Value
$1923.91
+21.1% vs $1588.29
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $1588.29; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $2417 | $2546 | $2699 | $2883 | $3107 |
| 9.0% | $2061 | $2149 | $2251 | $2371 | $2511 |
| 10.0% | $1790 | $1853 | $1924 | $2005 | $2099 |
| 11.0% | $1576 | $1623 | $1674 | $1732 | $1798 |
| 12.0% | $1405 | $1439 | $1478 | $1520 | $1568 |
About MercadoLibre, Inc.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates as a prominent provider of digital commerce platforms throughout Latin America. Its primary service, the Mercado Libre Marketplace, is an automated online system allowing businesses, independent vendors, and private individuals to list merchandise and finalize sales. Supporting this, the Mercado Pago FinTech platform offers a financial technology solution, facilitating transactions both on and off its e-commerce sites by enabling users to securely send and receive online payments and transfer funds via web and mobile applications. The company further expands its financial offerings through Mercado Fondo, a service that permits users to invest balances held in their Mercado Pago accounts, and Mercado Credito, which extends credit options to qualified merchants and consumers. For logistics, Mercado Envios provides a comprehensive solution, empowering sellers on its platform to utilize third-party delivery services and other logistical partners, including warehousing and fulfillment capabilities. Beyond these core services, MercadoLibre also runs Mercado Libre Classifieds, an online classifieds platform for motor vehicles, real estate, and professional services. Mercado Libre Ads serves as an advertising platform, assisting major retailers and brands in promoting their products and services across the internet. Lastly, Mercado Shops offers a solution for users to establish, manage, and market their personalized online storefronts. Founded in 1999, MercadoLibre, Inc. is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- CEO
- Ariel Szarfsztejn