Matson, Inc. (MATX) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate Matson, Inc.'s fair value between $162.79 (conservative case) and $251.03 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$193.43 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +1.6% a year for the next decade — slower than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$193.43
Fair-Value Range
$162.79 – $251.03
Market-Implied Growth
+1.6%/yr
vs +7.7% 5Y actual
MATX DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $484.0M · 0.03B shares · net debt $338.4M
Estimated Fair Value
$251.03
+29.8% vs $193.43
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $193.43; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $315 | $331 | $351 | $375 | $404 |
| 9.0% | $269 | $280 | $293 | $309 | $327 |
| 10.0% | $234 | $242 | $251 | $262 | $274 |
| 11.0% | $206 | $212 | $219 | $226 | $235 |
| 12.0% | $184 | $188 | $193 | $199 | $205 |
About Matson, Inc.
Matson, Inc. specializes in providing integrated ocean transportation and logistics solutions. Its Ocean Transportation segment offers crucial ocean freight services connecting the domestic non-contiguous economies of Hawaii, Alaska, and Guam, alongside other island nations within Micronesia. Their diverse cargo includes everything from refrigerated foodstuffs, packaged consumer goods, building materials, and automobiles to livestock, seafood, general sustenance, and a wide array of retail and e-commerce merchandise. Additionally, the company operates an expedited express service facilitating trade between China and Long Beach, California, extending its reach to various South Pacific islands and Okinawa, Japan. Beyond direct shipping, this segment manages comprehensive terminal operations, including container stevedoring, refrigerated cargo handling, inland transport, and container equipment maintenance across key locations in Hawaii (Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, and Kauai) and Alaska (Anchorage, Kodiak, and Dutch Harbor). They also offer vessel management and container transshipment services. Matson's Logistics division delivers a broad spectrum of multimodal transportation brokerage services. These encompass domestic and international rail intermodal, various highway trucking options (long-haul, regional, specialized, flat-bed, less-than-truckload, and expedited freight), less-than-container load consolidation, freight forwarding, warehousing, distribution, and comprehensive supply chain management, including non-vessel operating common carrier freight forwarding. Key clients include the U.S. military, freight forwarders, major retailers, consumer goods companies, and automobile manufacturers. Established in Honolulu, Hawaii, in 1882, the company was formerly known as Alexander & Baldwin Holdings, Inc. before adopting its current name, Matson, Inc., in June 2012.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Marine Shipping
- CEO
- Matthew J. Cox