Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) DCF: History & Chart

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.(LW)

Packaged Foods · Eagle, ID

$46.57+0.11 (+0.24%)

Delayed quote: Sep 18, 2026, 3:04 PM EDT

About Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is a prominent global entity specializing in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of enhanced frozen potato items. Its operations are structured across four distinct segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. The company's product portfolio encompasses frozen potatoes, various commercial ingredients, and appetizers. These are offered both under its flagship "Lamb Weston" brand and tailored to numerous customer labels. Furthermore, the company leverages its proprietary brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, alongside other licensed trademarks and private label brands for retailers. Beyond potatoes, Lamb Weston also maintains interests in the vegetable and dairy sectors. Its extensive client base includes both retail and foodservice channels, ranging from major grocery chains, mass merchandisers, club stores, and specialty retailers to diverse businesses, educational institutions, independent and regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Established in 1950, the corporation maintains its principal executive offices in Eagle, Idaho.

Eagle, ID

10,000 employees

www.lambweston.com

Consumer Defensive / Packaged Foods

Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Packaged Foods
CEO: Michael Jared Smith

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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range

$0.81

$28.36

Model scenario range

$46.57

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) between $0.81 and $28.36 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $11.41. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+29.1%/yr

Actual FCF growth, last 5 years+13.6%/yr

$46.57 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +29.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	10.1%/yr	8.5%	$0.81
Base case	13.1%/yr	7.5%	$11.41
Optimistic	16.1%/yr	6.5%	$28.36
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Sep 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$29.91

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$46.57

Market-Implied Growth

+29.1%/yr

vs +13.6% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$0.81 – $28.36

model output — not a price target

LW DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LW (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate13.1%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 80.5% · 5Y 13.6% · 10Y 9.8%

Discount Rate (WACC)7.5%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $168.9M · 0.14B shares · net debt $3.8B

Estimated Fair Value

$11.41

-75.5% vs $46.57

Current price$46.57

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$29.91

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 13.1%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $46.57; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
5.5%	$23.58	$30.18	$38.96	$51.26	$69.70
6.5%	$12.84	$16.79	$21.73	$28.08	$36.53
7.5%	$5.70	$8.30	$11.41	$15.22	$19.97
8.5%	$0.61	$2.43	$4.55	$7.06	$10.06
9.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	$1.41	$3.46