Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate Johnson Controls International plc's fair value between $23.71 (conservative case) and $31.67 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$144.01 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +24.2% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$144.01
Fair-Value Range
$23.71 – $31.67
Market-Implied Growth
+24.2%/yr
vs -11.0% 5Y actual
JCI DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $1.5B · 0.61B shares · net debt $9.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$23.71
-83.5% vs $144.01
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $144.01; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $33.24 | $35.74 | $38.70 | $42.25 | $46.59 |
| 9.0% | $26.36 | $28.07 | $30.04 | $32.34 | $35.07 |
| 10.0% | $21.11 | $22.33 | $23.71 | $25.28 | $27.10 |
| 11.0% | $16.99 | $17.88 | $18.88 | $20.00 | $21.27 |
| 12.0% | $13.66 | $14.33 | $15.07 | $15.90 | $16.82 |
About Johnson Controls International plc
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) operates as a global entity specializing in the engineering, production, installation, and upkeep of various building products and integrated systems. Its business activities span the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international regions, structured across four segments: Building Solutions North America, Building Solutions EMEA/LA, Building Solutions Asia Pacific, and Global Products. The company provides a comprehensive suite of services, encompassing the design, sale, installation, and maintenance of heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), control systems, building management solutions, refrigeration units, integrated electronic security, fire detection and suppression systems, and a range of fire protection and security products. These offerings serve a diverse client base, including commercial, industrial, retail, small business, institutional, and governmental organizations. Additionally, JCI delivers energy efficiency strategies and technical support services, such as inspections, routine servicing, and the repair or replacement of mechanical and control systems. It also develops data-driven smart building solutions for non-residential and industrial applications, alongside offering control software and associated services for both residential and commercial sectors. Founded in 1885, Johnson Controls International plc maintains its headquarters in Cork, Ireland.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
- CEO
- Joakim Weidemanis