Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate Duolingo, Inc.'s fair value between $96.28 (conservative case) and $456.81 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$121.92 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +9.1% a year for the next decade — slower than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$121.92
Fair-Value Range
$96.28 – $456.81
Market-Implied Growth
+9.1%/yr
vs +91.6% 5Y actual
DUOL DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $210.4M · 0.05B shares · net cash $1.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$96.28
-21.0% vs $121.92
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $121.92; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $114 | $119 | $125 | $131 | $139 |
| 9.0% | $101 | $104 | $108 | $113 | $118 |
| 10.0% | $91.39 | $93.68 | $96.28 | $99.25 | $103 |
| 11.0% | $83.61 | $85.30 | $87.18 | $89.29 | $91.69 |
| 12.0% | $77.35 | $78.61 | $80.01 | $81.56 | $83.29 |
About Duolingo, Inc.
Duolingo, Inc. builds and operates an online platform and a mobile application dedicated to language learning, catering to audiences in both the United States and China. The company's comprehensive curriculum spans 40 diverse languages, featuring prominent options such as Spanish, English, French, Japanese, German, Italian, Chinese, and Portuguese, among others. Furthermore, it offers a digital examination for assessing language proficiency. This enterprise was founded in 2011 and its main offices are located in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Application
- CEO
- Luis Alfonso von Ahn Arellano