Deere & Company (DE) DCF Valuation
A discounted-cash-flow model values Deere & Company (DE) at about $208.73 (analyst consensus (FMP)). Today's price of $565.12 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $565.12, the market is pricing in roughly +24.0%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of -9.3%. The price is betting on acceleration above its track record.
Current Price
$565.12
Fair-Value Range
$208.73
Market-Implied Growth
+24.0%/yr
vs -9.3% 5Y actual
DE DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $3.2B · 0.27B shares · net debt $55.6B
Estimated Fair Value
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These assumptions imply no positive equity value — try a higher growth or lower discount rate.
About Deere & Company
Deere & Company is a global manufacturer and distributor of a wide range of equipment. The company's operations are organized into four primary business segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment focuses on large-scale farming and advanced agricultural practices, offering medium-sized tractors, various harvesting machinery (including combines, cotton pickers, and sugarcane harvesters), front-end harvesting tools, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and essential tillage and seeding implements. It also supplies specialized application equipment like sprayers and nutrient management systems, along with soil preparation machinery, primarily serving grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment caters to smaller farming needs and land maintenance. Its product line includes utility tractors along with their complementary loaders and attachments. This segment also provides an extensive selection of turf and utility equipment, suchg as riding and commercial lawnmowers, specialized golf course maintenance machinery, and utility vehicles. Additionally, it offers various implements for tasks like mowing, tilling, snow removal, aerating, and general turf care across residential, commercial, golf, and sports environments, alongside other outdoor power products and hay and forage equipment. This division also resells products from other manufacturers. Its customer base includes dairy and livestock farmers, other crop producers, and general turf and utility clients. The Construction and Forestry segment delivers a comprehensive suite of heavy machinery for construction and logging. This includes earthmoving and roadbuilding equipment such as backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, four-wheel-drive loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, landscape and skid-steer loaders, milling machines, pavers, compactors, rollers, crushers, screens, and asphalt plants. For forestry operations, it supplies log skidders, feller bunchers, log loaders and forwarders, and log harvesters, in addition to various attachments for all its machinery. Lastly, the Financial Services segment provides funding solutions to facilitate the sale and leasing of agriculture and turf, as well as construction and forestry equipment. It extends wholesale financing to dealers stocking these product lines, offers extended equipment warranties, and manages retail revolving charge accounts for end-users. Established in 1837, Deere & Company has its corporate headquarters situated in Moline, Illinois.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Agricultural - Machinery
- CEO
- John C. May