United States Steel Corporation (X) DCF Valuation
A discounted-cash-flow model values United States Steel Corporation (X) at about $44.07 (TGM base case). Today's price of $54.84 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $54.84, the market is pricing in roughly +7.4%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +24.6%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$54.84
Fair-Value Range
$44.07
Market-Implied Growth
+7.4%/yr
vs +24.6% 5Y actual
X DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $779.8M · 0.23B shares · net debt $2.8B
Estimated Fair Value
$44.07
-19.6% vs $54.84
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $54.84; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $57.77 | $61.37 | $65.62 | $70.73 | $76.96 |
| 9.0% | $47.87 | $50.33 | $53.17 | $56.48 | $60.40 |
| 10.0% | $40.34 | $42.08 | $44.07 | $46.33 | $48.95 |
| 11.0% | $34.41 | $35.69 | $37.12 | $38.74 | $40.56 |
| 12.0% | $29.63 | $30.60 | $31.66 | $32.84 | $34.16 |
About United States Steel Corporation
United States Steel Corporation, established in 1901 and based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a prominent producer and supplier of flat-rolled and tubular steel goods. The company primarily operates across North America and Europe, organized into four distinct business divisions. The North American Flat-Rolled segment provides various products, including slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill items, in addition to raw materials such as iron ore and coke. This division caters to a broad clientele across industries like service centers, conversion operations, transportation, automotive, construction, container manufacturing, appliance production, and electrical applications. The Mini Mill segment specializes in hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and coated sheets, as well as electrical products. Its customer base encompasses the automotive, appliance, construction, container, transportation, and service center markets. Through U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), the company delivers slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, tin mill products, and spiral welded pipes. This European division serves construction, container, appliance and electrical, service centers, conversion, and the crucial oil, gas, and petrochemical sectors. Finally, the Tubular Products division manufactures specialized steel piping, including seamless and electric resistance welded steel casing and tubing products, along with standard, line, and mechanical pipes. These products are predominantly distributed to the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries. Beyond its core steel manufacturing, the corporation also maintains an involvement in the real estate business.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Steel
- CEO
- Alan Kestenbaum