TGM's two-stage DCF values Weatherford International plc (WFRD) between $93.60 and $174.64 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $126.12. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.6%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$88.85 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -0.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.6% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4.1%/yr | 9.6% | $93.60 |
| Base case | 7.1%/yr | 8.6% | $126.12 |
| Optimistic | 10.1%/yr | 7.6% | $174.64 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 10, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $228.20 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$88.85
Market-Implied Growth
-0.7%/yr
vs +7.1% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$93.60 – $174.64
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for WFRD (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $471.5M · 0.07B shares · net debt $560.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$126.12
+41.9% vs $88.85
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 7.1%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $88.85; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $159 | $174 | $193 | $218 | $250 |
| 7.6% | $131 | $141 | $153 | $168 | $186 |
| 8.6% | $111 | $118 | $126 | $136 | $148 |
| 9.6% | $95.49 | $101 | $107 | $114 | $122 |
| 10.6% | $83.73 | $87.75 | $92.26 | $97.36 | $103 |
