TGM's two-stage DCF values Weatherford International plc (WFRD) between $96.57 and $182.34 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $130.77. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.4%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$82.31 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -3.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.4% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4.1%/yr | 9.4% | $96.57 |
| Base case | 7.1%/yr | 8.4% | $130.77 |
| Optimistic | 10.1%/yr | 7.4% | $182.34 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Jul 30, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $246.18 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$82.31
Market-Implied Growth
-3.0%/yr
vs +7.1% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$96.57 – $182.34
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for WFRD (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $471.5M · 0.07B shares · net debt $560.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$130.77
+58.9% vs $82.31
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 7.1%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $82.31; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | $166 | $183 | $204 | $231 | $268 |
| 7.4% | $136 | $147 | $160 | $176 | $196 |
| 8.4% | $114 | $122 | $131 | $141 | $154 |
| 9.4% | $98.20 | $104 | $110 | $118 | $126 |
| 10.4% | $85.87 | $90.11 | $94.88 | $100 | $106 |
