TGM's two-stage DCF values Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) between $64.13 and $107.77 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $81.58. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$50.96 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -8.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 2.0%/yr | 9.5% | $64.13 |
| Base case | 5.0%/yr | 8.5% | $81.58 |
| Optimistic | 8.0%/yr | 7.5% | $107.77 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $38.58 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$50.96
Market-Implied Growth
-8.0%/yr
vs -3.1% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$64.13 – $107.77
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for WEYS (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $35.9M · 0.01B shares · net cash $96.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$81.58
+60.1% vs $50.96
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $50.96; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | $99.07 | $107 | $118 | $131 | $149 |
| 7.5% | $84.00 | $89.50 | $96.09 | $104 | $114 |
| 8.5% | $73.24 | $77.09 | $81.58 | $86.89 | $93.24 |
| 9.5% | $65.18 | $68.01 | $71.23 | $74.95 | $79.28 |
| 10.5% | $58.91 | $61.06 | $63.47 | $66.20 | $69.32 |
