Why we don't show a single “fair value” for WETH
Even the conservative scenario ($21.17) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4.6%/yr | 9.0% | $21.17 |
| Base case | 7.6%/yr | 8.0% | $25.04 |
| Optimistic | 10.6%/yr | 7.0% | $31.03 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $19.78 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$0.97
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$25.04
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for WETH (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $7.8M · 0.01B shares · net cash $117.8M
Estimated Fair Value
$25.04
+2468.6% vs $0.97
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 7.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $0.97; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | $29.17 | $31.26 | $33.94 | $37.52 | $42.53 |
| 7.0% | $25.57 | $26.89 | $28.50 | $30.52 | $33.10 |
| 8.0% | $23.08 | $23.98 | $25.04 | $26.32 | $27.87 |
| 9.0% | $21.26 | $21.91 | $22.65 | $23.52 | $24.54 |
| 10.0% | $19.87 | $20.36 | $20.90 | $21.52 | $22.24 |
