TGM's two-stage DCF values Urban One, Inc. (UONEK) between $6.45 and $73.08 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $28.99. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$3.50 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -4.4% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $6.45 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $28.99 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $73.08 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $168.63 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$3.50
Market-Implied Growth
-4.4%/yr
vs -2.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$6.45 – $73.08
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for UONEK (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $29.7M · 0.01B shares · net debt $429.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$28.99
+728.4% vs $3.50
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $3.50; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $59.38 | $75.88 | $97.86 | $129 | $175 |
| 6.5% | $32.53 | $42.44 | $54.82 | $70.72 | $91.90 |
| 7.5% | $14.64 | $21.17 | $28.99 | $38.55 | $50.48 |
| 8.5% | $1.86 | $6.44 | $11.77 | $18.07 | $25.62 |
| 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | $3.89 | $9.04 |
