Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)'s fair value in a range of $39.42 – $143.77 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $70.38 sits within that range — roughly fairly valued on these assumptions.
Reverse DCF: at today's $70.38, the market is pricing in roughly +12.6%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 3-year FCF CAGR of +115.0%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$70.38
Fair-Value Range
$39.42 – $143.77
Market-Implied Growth
+12.6%/yr
vs +115.0% 5Y actual
UBER DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $5.1B · 2.04B shares · net debt $3.4B
Estimated Fair Value
$39.42
-44.0% vs $70.38
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $70.38; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $49.39 | $52.01 | $55.11 | $58.82 | $63.36 |
| 9.0% | $42.19 | $43.98 | $46.04 | $48.45 | $51.30 |
| 10.0% | $36.70 | $37.97 | $39.42 | $41.07 | $42.97 |
| 11.0% | $32.39 | $33.32 | $34.36 | $35.54 | $36.87 |
| 12.0% | $28.91 | $29.61 | $30.39 | $31.25 | $32.21 |
About Uber Technologies, Inc.
Uber Technologies, Inc. is a leading technology corporation that conceptualizes and deploys its proprietary software applications across a broad global footprint, spanning North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company primarily serves as a digital nexus, linking consumers with independent transport providers for ride-hailing services. Furthermore, it connects individuals and other patrons with a variety of establishments—such as restaurants, grocery stores, and other retailers—to a network of delivery service providers for the preparation and transport of meals, groceries, and other goods. The organization structures its operations into three distinct divisions: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility division facilitates access for consumers to a wide array of transportation options offered by drivers, including traditional cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. This segment also incorporates financial collaborations, public transit integrations, and various vehicle-centric solutions. The Delivery division empowers users to easily locate and place orders from local eateries for either collection or delivery. Additionally, it encompasses the delivery of groceries, alcoholic beverages, convenience items, and a selection of other merchandise. The Freight division functions by pairing freight carriers with shippers through its platform, providing carriers with clear, pre-disclosed pricing and streamlined shipment booking capabilities, alongside broader transportation management and logistics services. Originally incorporated as Ubercab, Inc., the company officially adopted the name Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. It was established in 2009 and maintains its principal offices in San Francisco, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Application
- CEO
- Dara Khosrowshahi