Trimble Inc. (TRMB) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put Trimble Inc. (TRMB)'s fair value in a range of $22.09 – $43.45 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $52.95 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $52.95, the market is pricing in roughly +15.4%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of -18.3%. The price is betting on acceleration above its track record.
Current Price
$52.95
Fair-Value Range
$22.09 – $43.45
Market-Implied Growth
+15.4%/yr
vs -18.3% 5Y actual
TRMB DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $383.5M · 0.23B shares · net debt $1.1B
Estimated Fair Value
$22.09
-58.3% vs $52.95
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $52.95; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $28.64 | $30.35 | $32.39 | $34.82 | $37.80 |
| 9.0% | $23.91 | $25.08 | $26.44 | $28.02 | $29.89 |
| 10.0% | $20.31 | $21.14 | $22.09 | $23.17 | $24.42 |
| 11.0% | $17.47 | $18.09 | $18.77 | $19.54 | $20.41 |
| 12.0% | $15.19 | $15.65 | $16.16 | $16.73 | $17.36 |
About Trimble Inc.
Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies. For the Resources and Utilities sector, Trimble provides precision agriculture products and services. These encompass sophisticated guidance and positioning systems, autonomous steering capabilities, and automated, variable-rate application technologies. The offerings also include manual and automated navigation for farm equipment, solutions for automating pesticide and seeding processes, water management systems, and agricultural software designed for data and operational insights. Finally, the Transportation segment caters to the long-haul trucking and freight shipping industries. Its offerings span comprehensive mobility solutions such as route optimization, safety and compliance tools, end-to-end vehicle management, video intelligence, and supply chain communication platforms. Additionally, it delivers advanced fleet and transportation management systems, powerful analytics, mapping, reporting, and predictive modeling capabilities. Initially known as Trimble Navigation Limited, the company adopted its current name, Trimble Inc., in October 2016. Established in 1978, it maintains its headquarters in Sunnyvale, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Hardware, Equipment & Parts
- CEO
- Robert G. Painter