TGM's two-stage DCF values Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) between $60.73 and $101.89 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $78.16. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (11.2%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$162.36 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +32.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 11.2% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 10.5%/yr | 12.2% | $60.73 |
| Base case | 13.5%/yr | 11.2% | $78.16 |
| Optimistic | 16.5%/yr | 10.2% | $101.89 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 8, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $34.52 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$162.36
Market-Implied Growth
+32.0%/yr
vs +16.9% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$60.73 – $101.89
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TPR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $942.5M · 0.20B shares · net debt $1.3B
Estimated Fair Value
$78.16
-51.9% vs $162.36
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 13.5%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $162.36; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | $93.20 | $98.83 | $105 | $113 | $122 |
| 10.2% | $80.94 | $85.17 | $89.95 | $95.38 | $102 |
| 11.2% | $71.24 | $74.51 | $78.16 | $82.24 | $86.84 |
| 12.2% | $63.39 | $65.98 | $68.83 | $71.98 | $75.50 |
| 13.2% | $56.90 | $58.99 | $61.27 | $63.77 | $66.52 |
