A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$316.19 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +59.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 11.5% required return.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 12.5% | N/A |
| Base case | 2.9%/yr | 11.5% | N/A |
| Optimistic | 5.9%/yr | 10.5% | N/A |
Current Price
$316.19
Market-Implied Growth
+59.3%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TLN (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $231.5M · 0.05B shares · net debt $6.1B
Estimated Fair Value
N/A
These assumptions imply no positive equity value — try a higher growth or lower discount rate.
