Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)'s fair value in a range of $74.83 – $90.59 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $91.54 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $91.54, the market is pricing in roughly +8.0%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +10.2%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$91.54
Fair-Value Range
$74.83 – $90.59
Market-Implied Growth
+8.0%/yr
vs +10.2% 5Y actual
TEAM DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $1.1B · 0.26B shares · net cash $1.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$74.83
-18.3% vs $91.54
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $91.54; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $91.58 | $95.98 | $101 | $107 | $115 |
| 9.0% | $79.48 | $82.49 | $85.96 | $90.01 | $94.79 |
| 10.0% | $70.26 | $72.40 | $74.83 | $77.60 | $80.79 |
| 11.0% | $63.02 | $64.59 | $66.34 | $68.31 | $70.54 |
| 12.0% | $57.18 | $58.36 | $59.66 | $61.10 | $62.72 |
About Atlassian Corporation
Atlassian Corporation, operating globally via its subsidiaries, specializes in creating, distributing, and supporting a diverse range of software solutions. Its extensive product suite features Jira Software and Jira Work Management, comprehensive project management platforms enabling technical and business teams to efficiently plan, organize, monitor, and execute tasks. Confluence serves as a collaborative workspace, centralizing knowledge to advance team efforts, while Trello provides a flexible tool for teams to structure and manage dynamic, rapidly evolving projects. Additionally, Atlassian provides Jira Service Management, an adaptable service desk solution empowering IT, legal, HR, and other service teams to deliver and oversee exceptional service experiences. Another key offering is Jira Align, an enterprise agility platform crafted to assist businesses in navigating dynamic market conditions by prioritizing value generation. Furthermore, its offerings include Bitbucket, an enterprise-grade Git repository management system facilitating professional development teams in collaborating on, managing, and deploying high-quality code. Atlassian Access provides robust, enterprise-wide security and centralized administration, enhancing data governance across its entire suite of cloud products. The portfolio also contains Jira Product, a dedicated tool for prioritizing and mapping out product roadmaps. The company's diverse portfolio extends to Atlas, a teamwork directory; Bamboo, a continuous delivery pipeline; Crowd for single sign-on capabilities; Crucible for collaborative code reviews; Fisheye, a tool to search, track, and visualize code changes; and Compass, a developer experience platform. Other notable products encompass Opsgenie, for on-call and alert management; Sourcetree, a free Git client for Windows and Mac; Statuspage, for real-time status communication to users; and Beacon, an intelligent threat detection system. Established in 2002, Atlassian Corporation maintains its headquarters in Sydney, Australia.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Application
- CEO
- Michael Cannon-Brookes