TGM's two-stage DCF values Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) between $341.68 and $649.96 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $465.77. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.7%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$655.57 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +21.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.7% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 10.9%/yr | 9.7% | $341.68 |
| Base case | 13.9%/yr | 8.7% | $465.77 |
| Optimistic | 16.9%/yr | 7.7% | $649.96 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 1, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $526.12 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$655.57
Market-Implied Growth
+21.9%/yr
vs +13.1% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$341.68 – $649.96
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TDY (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $897.6M · 0.05B shares · net debt $2.1B
Estimated Fair Value
$465.77
-29.0% vs $655.57
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 13.9%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $655.57; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | $592 | $651 | $724 | $817 | $939 |
| 7.7% | $484 | $523 | $570 | $627 | $697 |
| 8.7% | $406 | $433 | $466 | $504 | $549 |
| 9.7% | $347 | $367 | $391 | $417 | $449 |
| 10.7% | $301 | $316 | $334 | $354 | $376 |
