Why we don't show a single “fair value” for TASK
Even the conservative scenario ($17.91) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. The honest lens is the question below: what growth does today's price actually require? The model scenarios are listed further down for reference.
What would today's price require?
$7.96 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -7.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 11.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 14.8%/yr | 12.5% | $17.91 |
| Base case | 17.8%/yr | 11.5% | $22.63 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 10.5% | $28.13 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $8.93 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$7.96
Market-Implied Growth
-7.7%/yr
vs +20.0% 5Y actual
Base-Case Model Value
$22.63
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TASK (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $101.6M · 0.09B shares · net debt $49.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$22.63
+184.3% vs $7.96
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 17.8%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $7.96; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $26.72 | $28.22 | $29.94 | $31.91 | $34.21 |
| 10.5% | $23.40 | $24.54 | $25.82 | $27.27 | $28.92 |
| 11.5% | $20.76 | $21.65 | $22.63 | $23.73 | $24.96 |
| 12.5% | $18.61 | $19.32 | $20.09 | $20.94 | $21.89 |
| 13.5% | $16.83 | $17.40 | $18.02 | $18.70 | $19.45 |
