Symbotic Inc. (SYM) DCF Valuation
Why we don't show a single “fair value” for SYM
A trailing-FCF DCF can't fairly anchor Symbotic Inc. right now — free cash flow has been negative in recent years. For a company in this position, trailing free cash flow understates what the business actually earns for owners, so any “fair value” built on it would be misleadingly low. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 12.5% | $3.32 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 11.5% | $3.67 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 10.5% | $4.06 |
| Analyst DCF (FMP) | independent reference — different model | $31.93 | |
Current Price
$40.77
Market-Implied Growth
—
Base-Case Model Value
$3.67
model output — not a price target
SYM DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for SYM (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $53.5M · 0.64B shares · net cash $1.2B
Estimated Fair Value
$4.77
-88.3% vs $40.77
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $40.77; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $5.46 | $5.62 | $5.81 | $6.02 | $6.27 |
| 10.5% | $4.97 | $5.09 | $5.22 | $5.37 | $5.54 |
| 11.5% | $4.59 | $4.67 | $4.77 | $4.87 | $5.00 |
| 12.5% | $4.27 | $4.34 | $4.41 | $4.49 | $4.58 |
| 13.5% | $4.02 | $4.07 | $4.13 | $4.19 | $4.25 |
About Symbotic Inc.
Symbotic Inc. is a company specializing in automation solutions, offering cutting-edge robotics and technology designed to boost operational efficiency for wholesale and retail businesses across the United States. They provide a comprehensive automated warehousing solution called The Symbotic System, which is engineered to lower expenditures, increase productivity, and streamline inventory control. The firm's headquarters are situated in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
- CEO
- Richard Cohen