TGM's two-stage DCF values SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. (SSNC) between $52.68 and $101.64 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $72.84. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.6%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$77.99 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +9.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.6% required return — about in line with its track record.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 5.3%/yr | 10.6% | $52.68 |
| Base case | 8.3%/yr | 9.6% | $72.84 |
| Optimistic | 11.3%/yr | 8.6% | $101.64 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $89.37 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$77.99
Market-Implied Growth
+9.7%/yr
vs +10.4% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$52.68 – $101.64
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for SSNC (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.1B · 0.23B shares · net debt $3.9B
Estimated Fair Value
$72.84
-6.6% vs $77.99
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 8.3%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $77.99; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | $91.57 | $99.57 | $109 | $121 | $135 |
| 8.6% | $75.81 | $81.45 | $87.99 | $95.70 | $105 |
| 9.6% | $63.97 | $68.12 | $72.84 | $78.27 | $84.58 |
| 10.6% | $54.75 | $57.90 | $61.44 | $65.44 | $70.00 |
| 11.6% | $47.37 | $49.84 | $52.57 | $55.61 | $59.03 |
