Smithfield Foods (SFD) DCF: History & Chart

Smithfield Foods, Inc.(SFD)

Packaged Foods · Smithfield, VA

$21.94-0.17 (-0.77%)

Delayed quote: Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT

About Smithfield Foods, Inc.

Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products, ready-to-eat products, and prepared foods to retail and foodservice customers. This segment markets its packaged meat products under the Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan’s Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook’s, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly’s and Smithfield Culinary, as well as under private labels. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into a variety of primal, sub-primal, and offal products, such as bellies, butts, hams, loins, trimmings, picnics, and ribs. This segment sells its fresh pork products to retail, foodservice and industrial customers, as well as to export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. The Hog Production segment produces and raises its hogs on various company-owned farms and farms that are owned and operated by contract farmers. This segment also sells livestock feed and grains; and provides transportation and other ancillary services. The Other segment engages in the bioscience operations uses raw materials from hogs that process to manufacture heparin products, including an active pharmaceutical ingredient that mitigates the risk of blood clots; and produces fresh pork products in Mexico. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited.

Smithfield, VA

34,000 employees

www.smithfieldfoods.com

Consumer Defensive / Packaged Foods

Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Packaged Foods
CEO: Charles Shane Smith

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Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) DCF Valuation

Price is BELOW the estimated range

$25.76

$47.92

Model scenario range

$21.94

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) between $25.76 and $47.92 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $33.26. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes-7.0%/yr

$21.94 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -7.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	0.5%/yr	8.5%	$25.76
Base case	2.0%/yr	7.5%	$33.26
Optimistic	5.0%/yr	6.5%	$47.92
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Aug 31, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$90.94

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$21.94

Market-Implied Growth

-7.0%/yr

Model Scenario Range

$25.76 – $47.92

model output — not a price target

SFD DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for SFD (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate2%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 59.1% · 10Y 22.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)7.5%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $675.5M · 0.39B shares · net debt $464.0M

Estimated Fair Value

$33.26

+51.6% vs $21.94

Current price$21.94

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$90.94

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $21.94; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
5.5%	$43.36	$48.85	$56.16	$66.39	$81.72
6.5%	$34.44	$37.73	$41.85	$47.14	$54.18
7.5%	$28.49	$30.66	$33.26	$36.44	$40.41
8.5%	$24.24	$25.76	$27.53	$29.63	$32.14
9.5%	$21.05	$22.17	$23.44	$24.91	$26.63