TGM's two-stage DCF values Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) between $52.64 and $86.92 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $66.37. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$37.01 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -11.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 10.5% | $52.64 |
| Base case | 3.2%/yr | 9.5% | $66.37 |
| Optimistic | 6.2%/yr | 8.5% | $86.92 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $71.77 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$37.01
Market-Implied Growth
-11.5%/yr
vs +3.2% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$52.64 – $86.92
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for SCHL (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $79.5M · 0.02B shares · net cash $54.4M
Estimated Fair Value
$66.37
+79.3% vs $37.01
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 3.2%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $37.01; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | $79.47 | $85.11 | $91.88 | $100 | $110 |
| 8.5% | $68.43 | $72.39 | $77.00 | $82.44 | $88.96 |
| 9.5% | $60.15 | $63.05 | $66.37 | $70.19 | $74.63 |
| 10.5% | $53.72 | $55.92 | $58.40 | $61.20 | $64.40 |
| 11.5% | $48.57 | $50.29 | $52.20 | $54.33 | $56.72 |
