TGM's two-stage DCF values RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. (RICK) between $51.27 and $118.22 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $77.69. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.1%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$26.14 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -6.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.1% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 6.0%/yr | 9.1% | $51.27 |
| Base case | 9.0%/yr | 8.1% | $77.69 |
| Optimistic | 12.0%/yr | 7.1% | $118.22 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $45.16 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$26.14
Market-Implied Growth
-6.9%/yr
vs +7.0% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$51.27 – $118.22
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for RICK (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $33.1M · 0.01B shares · net debt $202.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$77.69
+197.2% vs $26.14
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 9.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $26.14; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | $106 | $120 | $138 | $161 | $194 |
| 7.1% | $81.32 | $90.24 | $101 | $115 | $132 |
| 8.1% | $64.39 | $70.50 | $77.69 | $86.28 | $96.72 |
| 9.1% | $51.95 | $56.35 | $61.41 | $67.30 | $74.23 |
| 10.1% | $42.42 | $45.72 | $49.44 | $53.69 | $58.57 |
