Roblox Corporation (RBLX) DCF Valuation
A discounted-cash-flow model values Roblox Corporation (RBLX) at about $12.10 (TGM base case). Today's price of $41.49 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $41.49, the market is pricing in roughly +22.1%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +25.9%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$41.49
Fair-Value Range
$12.10
Market-Implied Growth
+22.1%/yr
vs +25.9% 5Y actual
RBLX DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $515.3M · 0.72B shares · net cash $212.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$12.10
-70.8% vs $41.49
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $41.49; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $14.96 | $15.71 | $16.60 | $17.67 | $18.97 |
| 9.0% | $12.89 | $13.41 | $14.00 | $14.69 | $15.51 |
| 10.0% | $11.32 | $11.68 | $12.10 | $12.57 | $13.12 |
| 11.0% | $10.08 | $10.35 | $10.64 | $10.98 | $11.36 |
| 12.0% | $9.08 | $9.28 | $9.50 | $9.75 | $10.03 |
About Roblox Corporation
Roblox Corporation oversees the development and operation of a leading digital entertainment ecosystem. Its offerings include Roblox Studio, a complimentary suite of tools empowering developers and artists to construct, launch, and manage interactive 3D environments and various other forms of content. Through the Roblox Client application, users can navigate and immerse themselves in these digital 3D realms. The platform also features Roblox Education, specifically designed for educational pursuits. Furthermore, Roblox Cloud furnishes the fundamental services and infrastructure necessary to support its unique human co-experience platform. With a vast customer base, the company caters to users across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, numerous European nations, China, the Asia-Pacific region, and other global markets. Incorporated in 2004, its primary corporate operations are based in San Mateo, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
- CEO
- David Baszucki