The Progressive Corporation (PGR) Compounding Analysis | TGMCharts
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) compounding analysis
Full-size annual and quarterly year-over-year growth charts for revenue, EPS, operating cash flow, EBITDA, and free cash flow against the 15%, 20%, and 30% bars over 3-, 5-, and 10-year windows, with each metric's valuation multiple vs its own history.
Revenue · 10YDoes not currently clear the 15%+, 20%+, or 30%+ revenue bars over 10Y.
Score
32/100
10Y CAGR
15.4%
Median YoY
14.7%
YoY volatility
σ 8.1pp· smooth
Quarters ≥ 20%
13 of 40
Negative quarters
1
Valuation vs own 10Y history
P/S 1.4x · 10Y median 1.4x · 58th percentile · as of Aug 19, 2026
How this score is computed
Quarters at or above 20%: 13 of 40 → 13 of 40 pts
Steadiness (typical swing 8.1pp) → 19.2 of 25 pts
Pace (median 14.7% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
Latest quarter (7.4% YoY) → 0 of 15 pts
Score: 32 of 100
Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 40
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Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line
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P/S multiple vs its 10Y median
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Across metrics · 10Y
PGR reported stats per metric over 10Y: annual CAGR, median quarterly year-over-year growth, YoY standard deviation, quarters at or above 20%, and negative quarters.
Metric
10Y CAGR
Median YoY
YoY σ
Qtrs ≥ 20%
Neg. qtrs
RevenueRevenue
15.4%
14.7%
8.1pp
13 of 40
1
EPSEPS
24.5%
25.2%
165.1pp
20 of 39
11
Op cash flowOperating cash flow
22.6%
24%
54.2pp
23 of 40
11
EBITDAEBITDA
21.6%
26.3%
135.0pp
21 of 39
11
FCFFree cash flow
23%
26.3%
66.8pp
23 of 40
11
Reported figures over 10Y: annual-series CAGR, median and standard deviation (σ, percentage points) of quarterly year-over-year growth, quarters at or above 20%, and quarters with negative YoY. “—” means the window needs more comparable data.
Scores, qualification bars, and the 0–100 consistency methodology are documented on the compounders list page →