Why we don't show a single “fair value” for PERI
Even the conservative scenario ($23.37) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 10.9% | $23.37 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 9.9% | $27.82 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 8.9% | $35.93 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $13.16 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$8.53
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$27.82
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for PERI (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $79.6M · 0.04B shares · net cash $68.8M
Estimated Fair Value
$27.82
+226.0% vs $8.53
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $8.53; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | $32.89 | $34.99 | $37.48 | $40.47 | $44.14 |
| 8.9% | $28.66 | $30.16 | $31.90 | $33.93 | $36.33 |
| 9.9% | $25.43 | $26.55 | $27.82 | $29.28 | $30.95 |
| 10.9% | $22.90 | $23.76 | $24.72 | $25.80 | $27.03 |
| 11.9% | $20.85 | $21.53 | $22.28 | $23.11 | $24.04 |
