TGM's two-stage DCF values Everpure, Inc. (P) between $31.63 and $47.96 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $39.22. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (11.2%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$90.05 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +41.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 11.2% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 14.9%/yr | 12.2% | $31.63 |
| Base case | 17.9%/yr | 11.2% | $39.22 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 10.2% | $47.96 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 8, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $16.99 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$90.05
Market-Implied Growth
+41.9%/yr
vs +17.9% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$31.63 – $47.96
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for P (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $568.0M · 0.33B shares · net cash $854.9M
Estimated Fair Value
$39.22
-56.5% vs $90.05
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 17.9%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $90.05; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | $45.89 | $48.40 | $51.27 | $54.60 | $58.51 |
| 10.2% | $40.45 | $42.33 | $44.45 | $46.86 | $49.63 |
| 11.2% | $36.15 | $37.60 | $39.22 | $41.03 | $43.07 |
| 12.2% | $32.67 | $33.82 | $35.08 | $36.48 | $38.04 |
| 13.2% | $29.80 | $30.72 | $31.73 | $32.84 | $34.06 |
