TGM's two-stage DCF values Omega Flex, Inc. (OFLX) between $31.86 and $53.73 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $39.26. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$26.40 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -8.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $31.86 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $39.26 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $53.73 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $29.30 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$26.40
Market-Implied Growth
-8.7%/yr
vs -11.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$31.86 – $53.73
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for OFLX (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $17.1M · 0.01B shares · net cash $53.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$39.26
+48.7% vs $26.40
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $26.40; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $49.23 | $54.64 | $61.86 | $71.95 | $87.08 |
| 6.5% | $40.42 | $43.67 | $47.73 | $52.95 | $59.90 |
| 7.5% | $34.55 | $36.69 | $39.26 | $42.40 | $46.31 |
| 8.5% | $30.35 | $31.86 | $33.61 | $35.68 | $38.15 |
| 9.5% | $27.21 | $28.31 | $29.57 | $31.02 | $32.71 |
