Nutrien (NTR) DCF: History & Chart

Nutrien Ltd.(NTR)

Agricultural Inputs · Saskatoon, SK

$78.72+1.72 (+2.23%)

Delayed quote: Sep 15, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT

About Nutrien Ltd.

Nutrien Ltd., a company established in 2017 and based in Saskatoon, Canada, functions as a principal supplier of essential agricultural resources and associated services. The firm furnishes vital crop inputs, including various fertilizer compounds like potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate, in addition to offering financial solutions to its clientele. Its operations involve the extensive distribution of crop-related products such as nutrients, protection agents, seeds, and general merchandise. This is facilitated through a vast network of nearly 2,000 retail establishments situated across the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. Beyond its retail footprint, Nutrien also engages directly with agricultural producers, delivering personalized services through its numerous farm centers located throughout North America, South America, and Australia.

Saskatoon, SK

25,500 employees

www.nutrien.com

Basic Materials / Agricultural Inputs

Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Agricultural Inputs
CEO: Kenneth A. Seitz

View full financials

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range

$32.10

$71.61

Model scenario range

$78.72

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) between $32.10 and $71.61 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $48.33. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.5%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+12.3%/yr

Actual FCF growth, last 5 years+2.8%/yr

$78.72 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +12.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	0.6%/yr	10.5%	$32.10
Base case	3.6%/yr	9.5%	$48.33
Optimistic	6.6%/yr	8.5%	$71.61
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Sep 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$59.79

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$78.72

Market-Implied Growth

+12.3%/yr

vs +2.8% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$32.10 – $71.61

model output — not a price target

NTR DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for NTR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate3.6%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y -20.1% · 5Y 2.8% · 10Y 16.9%

Discount Rate (WACC)9.5%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $2.3B · 0.48B shares · net debt $11.3B

Estimated Fair Value

$48.33

-38.6% vs $78.72

Current price$78.72

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$59.79

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 3.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $78.72; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
7.5%	$63.20	$69.61	$77.29	$86.66	$98.36
8.5%	$50.67	$55.16	$60.40	$66.57	$73.97
9.5%	$41.28	$44.57	$48.33	$52.67	$57.71
10.5%	$33.98	$36.48	$39.29	$42.47	$46.10
11.5%	$28.14	$30.09	$32.26	$34.68	$37.39