Maison Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock (MSS) DCF Valuation
Why we don't show a single “fair value” for MSS
Even the conservative scenario ($2.78) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. The honest lens is the question below: what growth does today's price actually require? The model scenarios are listed further down for reference.
What would today's price require?
$0.77 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +3.8% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 11.5% required return.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 12.5% | $2.78 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 11.5% | $4.66 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 10.5% | $6.76 |
Current Price
$0.77
Market-Implied Growth
+3.8%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
$4.66
model output — not a price target
MSS DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for MSS (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $929246 · 0.00B shares · net debt $9.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$10.51
+1265.3% vs $0.77
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $0.77; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $14.20 | $15.06 | $16.03 | $17.16 | $18.48 |
| 10.5% | $11.59 | $12.21 | $12.91 | $13.69 | $14.59 |
| 11.5% | $9.54 | $10.00 | $10.51 | $11.08 | $11.72 |
| 12.5% | $7.88 | $8.23 | $8.61 | $9.04 | $9.51 |
| 13.5% | $6.53 | $6.79 | $7.09 | $7.41 | $7.76 |
About Maison Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
Maison Solutions Inc., along with its affiliated entities, functions as a niche grocery retailer across California. The company offers a wide array of products, including fresh perishables like meats, seafood, fruits, and vegetables. Its inventory also features non-perishable goods such as kitchenware, canned foods, specialized Chinese and Asian spices and seasonings, and snack items. Additionally, its establishments provide alcoholic beverages, tobacco, lottery services, newspapers, reusable shopping bags, various household essentials, health and beauty products, general merchandise, pharmaceutical items, and fuel. Customers can acquire these items both in its physical stores and through its digital platform. Established in 2019, the firm was formerly known as Maison International, Inc. until it rebranded to Maison Solutions Inc. in September 2021, and its primary operations are based in Monterey Park, California.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- CEO
- Jun Xu