Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) compounding analysis
Full-size annual and quarterly year-over-year growth charts for revenue, EPS, operating cash flow, EBITDA, and free cash flow against the 15%, 20%, and 30% bars over 3-, 5-, and 10-year windows, with each metric's valuation multiple vs its own history.
Revenue · 10YDoes not currently clear the 15%+, 20%+, or 30%+ revenue bars over 10Y.
- Score
- 11/100
- 10Y CAGR
- 37.8%
- Median YoY
- -31.2%
- YoY volatility
- σ 3716.8pp· choppy
- Quarters ≥ 20%
- 9 of 34
- Negative quarters
- 22
- Valuation vs own 10Y history
- P/S 31.0x · 10Y median 8.4x · 68th percentile · as of Aug 19, 2026
How this score is computed
- Quarters at or above 20%: 9 of 34 → 10.6 of 40 pts
- Steadiness (typical swing 3716.8pp) → 0 of 25 pts
- Pace (median -31.2% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
- Latest quarter (2.1% YoY) → 0 of 15 pts
- Score: 11 of 100
Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 35
Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line
P/S multiple vs its 10Y median
Across metrics · 10Y
| Metric | 10Y CAGR | Median YoY | YoY σ | Qtrs ≥ 20% | Neg. qtrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueRevenue | 37.8% | -31.2% | 3716.8pp | 9 of 34 | 22 |
| EPSEPS | — | — | — | — | — |
| Op cash flowOperating cash flow | — | — | — | — | — |
| EBITDAEBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| FCFFree cash flow | — | — | — | — | — |
Reported figures over 10Y: annual-series CAGR, median and standard deviation (σ, percentage points) of quarterly year-over-year growth, quarters at or above 20%, and quarters with negative YoY. “—” means the window needs more comparable data.
Scores, qualification bars, and the 0–100 consistency methodology are documented on the compounders list page →
See also: MRNA on the compounders surface · All compounders, ranked