TGM's two-stage DCF values Merit Medical Systems, Inc. (MMSI) between $41.80 and $87.56 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $59.41. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$89.54 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +18.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 5.9%/yr | 8.5% | $41.80 |
| Base case | 8.9%/yr | 7.5% | $59.41 |
| Optimistic | 11.9%/yr | 6.5% | $87.56 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 28, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $143.05 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$89.54
Market-Implied Growth
+18.1%/yr
vs +9.0% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$41.80 – $87.56
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for MMSI (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $145.6M · 0.06B shares · net debt $373.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$59.41
-33.7% vs $89.54
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 8.9%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $89.54; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $79.33 | $90.13 | $105 | $125 | $155 |
| 6.5% | $61.73 | $68.22 | $76.32 | $86.72 | $101 |
| 7.5% | $50.03 | $54.29 | $59.41 | $65.65 | $73.45 |
| 8.5% | $41.68 | $44.67 | $48.15 | $52.26 | $57.19 |
| 9.5% | $35.43 | $37.63 | $40.13 | $43.01 | $46.36 |