MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put MongoDB, Inc. (MDB)'s fair value in a range of $49.84 – $123.90 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $340.28 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.
Reverse DCF: at today's $340.28, the market is pricing in roughly +35.5%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 3-year FCF CAGR of +192.8%. The price assumes a slowdown from its track record — a potential value signal if growth holds.
Current Price
$340.28
Fair-Value Range
$49.84 – $123.90
Market-Implied Growth
+35.5%/yr
vs +192.8% 5Y actual
MDB DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $179.0M · 0.08B shares · net cash $1.1B
Estimated Fair Value
$49.84
-85.4% vs $340.28
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $340.28; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $58.70 | $61.03 | $63.77 | $67.07 | $71.10 |
| 9.0% | $52.30 | $53.89 | $55.73 | $57.87 | $60.40 |
| 10.0% | $47.43 | $48.56 | $49.84 | $51.31 | $53.00 |
| 11.0% | $43.60 | $44.43 | $45.36 | $46.40 | $47.58 |
| 12.0% | $40.51 | $41.14 | $41.82 | $42.59 | $43.44 |
About MongoDB, Inc.
MongoDB, Inc. serves as a global provider of a versatile database platform. The company's offerings feature MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a sophisticated commercial database server designed for corporate clients, which can be deployed in cloud, on-premises, or hybrid environments. It also presents MongoDB Atlas, a fully managed, multi-cloud database-as-a-service (DBaaS) solution. For developers seeking to start with MongoDB, the company offers a free, downloadable Community Server that includes fundamental database functionalities. Beyond its core database products, MongoDB, Inc. provides professional services such as consulting and training. Founded in 2007 and based in New York, New York, the company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. before adopting the name MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- CEO
- Chirantan Jitendra Desai