TGM's two-stage DCF values Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA) between $4.83 and $8.81 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $6.50. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth (capped at 18%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$13.07 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +36.7% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 8.5% | $4.83 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 7.5% | $6.50 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 6.5% | $8.81 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $2.37 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$13.07
Market-Implied Growth
+36.7%/yr
vs +41.0% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$4.83 – $8.81
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for MAMA (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $7.3M · 0.05B shares · net cash $14.6M
Estimated Fair Value
$6.50
-50.3% vs $13.07
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $13.07; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $8.44 | $9.50 | $10.90 | $12.86 | $15.81 |
| 6.5% | $6.73 | $7.36 | $8.15 | $9.16 | $10.51 |
| 7.5% | $5.58 | $6.00 | $6.50 | $7.10 | $7.86 |
| 8.5% | $4.77 | $5.06 | $5.40 | $5.80 | $6.28 |
| 9.5% | $4.17 | $4.38 | $4.62 | $4.90 | $5.23 |
