A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. (LVLU) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$13.18 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +24.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | N/A |
| Base case | 2.6%/yr | 7.5% | $1.64 |
| Optimistic | 5.6%/yr | 6.5% | $5.03 |
Current Price
$13.18
Market-Implied Growth
+24.3%/yr
vs +2.6% 5Y actual
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LVLU (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.1M · 0.00B shares · net debt $18.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$1.64
-87.6% vs $13.18
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $13.18; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $3.98 | $5.26 | $6.95 | $9.32 | $12.88 |
| 6.5% | $1.91 | $2.68 | $3.63 | $4.86 | $6.49 |
| 7.5% | $0.53 | $1.03 | $1.64 | $2.37 | $3.30 |
| 8.5% | N/A | N/A | $0.31 | $0.80 | $1.38 |
| 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $0.10 |
