TGM's two-stage DCF values LifeVantage Corporation (LFVN) between $10.88 and $18.29 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $13.42. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$6.08 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -18.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.9% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.9% | $10.88 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.9% | $13.42 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.9% | $18.29 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $5.98 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$6.08
Market-Implied Growth
-18.5%/yr
vs +0.7% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$10.88 – $18.29
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LFVN (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $8.3M · 0.01B shares · net cash $14.9M
Estimated Fair Value
$13.42
+120.8% vs $6.08
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $6.08; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | $16.72 | $18.41 | $20.60 | $23.54 | $27.71 |
| 6.9% | $13.84 | $14.90 | $16.20 | $17.83 | $19.94 |
| 7.9% | $11.85 | $12.57 | $13.42 | $14.44 | $15.70 |
| 8.9% | $10.41 | $10.92 | $11.51 | $12.21 | $13.03 |
| 9.9% | $9.31 | $9.69 | $10.12 | $10.62 | $11.19 |