TGM's two-stage DCF values Lifetime Brands, Inc. (LCUT) between $2.61 and $9.50 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $5.02. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use) (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$9.30 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +8.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.9% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 9.9% | $2.61 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 8.9% | $5.02 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 7.9% | $9.50 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $18.12 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$9.30
Market-Implied Growth
+8.9%/yr
vs -5.0% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$2.61 – $9.50
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LCUT (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $18.8M · 0.02B shares · net debt $180.8M
Estimated Fair Value
$5.02
-46.0% vs $9.30
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $9.30; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | $7.92 | $9.25 | $10.88 | $12.92 | $15.56 |
| 7.9% | $5.44 | $6.34 | $7.41 | $8.69 | $10.26 |
| 8.9% | $3.63 | $4.28 | $5.02 | $5.89 | $6.91 |
| 9.9% | $2.26 | $2.73 | $3.28 | $3.90 | $4.62 |
| 10.9% | $1.17 | $1.54 | $1.95 | $2.41 | $2.94 |
