A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Liberty Global plc (LBTYK) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$8.81 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -15.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.8% required return.
Current Price
$8.81
Market-Implied Growth
-15.3%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LBTYK (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.2B · 0.34B shares · net debt $7.3B
Estimated Fair Value
$53.18
+503.3% vs $8.81
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $8.81; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | $74.05 | $84.91 | $99.05 | $118 | $146 |
| 6.8% | $55.75 | $62.49 | $70.78 | $81.24 | $94.86 |
| 7.8% | $43.28 | $47.81 | $53.18 | $59.67 | $67.66 |
| 8.8% | $34.23 | $37.45 | $41.18 | $45.55 | $50.73 |
| 9.8% | $27.37 | $29.76 | $32.47 | $35.58 | $39.18 |
