TGM's two-stage DCF values Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR) between $28.31 and $55.23 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $38.67. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$38.18 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +11.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — about in line with its track record.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 8.4%/yr | 8.5% | $28.31 |
| Base case | 11.4%/yr | 7.5% | $38.67 |
| Optimistic | 14.4%/yr | 6.5% | $55.23 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $51.53 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$38.18
Market-Implied Growth
+11.1%/yr
vs +11.0% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$28.31 – $55.23
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LAUR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $177.6M · 0.14B shares · net cash $19.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$38.67
+1.3% vs $38.18
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 11.4%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $38.18; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $50.49 | $56.90 | $65.44 | $77.38 | $95.30 |
| 6.5% | $40.05 | $43.90 | $48.70 | $54.87 | $63.08 |
| 7.5% | $33.11 | $35.64 | $38.67 | $42.37 | $46.99 |
| 8.5% | $28.17 | $29.94 | $32.00 | $34.44 | $37.36 |
| 9.5% | $24.47 | $25.77 | $27.25 | $28.95 | $30.94 |
