A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$27.37 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -14.2% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 10.9% required return.
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$27.37
Market-Implied Growth
-14.2%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for JAKK (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $42.6M · 0.01B shares · net cash $52.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$54.75
+100.1% vs $27.37
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $27.37; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | $63.51 | $66.86 | $70.72 | $75.24 | $80.58 |
| 9.9% | $56.34 | $58.83 | $61.66 | $64.89 | $68.61 |
| 10.9% | $50.70 | $52.61 | $54.75 | $57.16 | $59.89 |
| 11.9% | $46.15 | $47.66 | $49.32 | $51.17 | $53.24 |
| 12.9% | $42.41 | $43.62 | $44.94 | $46.40 | $48.01 |
