A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 12.5% | N/A |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 11.5% | $0.19 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 10.5% | $0.72 |
Current Price
$86.55
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for ICHR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $6.1M · 0.03B shares · net debt $61.9M
Estimated Fair Value
$0.19
-99.8% vs $86.55
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $86.55; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $0.50 | $0.62 | $0.75 | $0.90 | $1.07 |
| 10.5% | $0.25 | $0.34 | $0.43 | $0.54 | $0.67 |
| 11.5% | $0.04 | $0.11 | $0.19 | $0.27 | $0.37 |
| 12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | $0.06 | $0.13 |
| 13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
